Satyam Goel

I am a Ph.D. candidate in Economics at the University of Liverpool Management School, where I am being advised by Professor Oliver de Groot and Dr. Yavuz Arslan.

Before joining Liverpool, I received my M.Res. in Economics from the University of Bristol, an M.Sc. in Financial Economics from the University of Glasgow, and my undergraduate B.A. (Honours) degree in Economics from the University of Delhi.

Research Interests: Macroeconomics, Monetary Policy, Housing Markets

Research

(Work in Progress)

Intergenerational Distributional Impact of the Zero Lower Bound

with Oliver de Groot

Presented at the ESRC- NW Social Science PhD Conference - 2023

In this paper, we build an OHANK (overlapping generations heterogeneous agent New Keynesian) model with a zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint. We present an analysis of how such a ZLB constraint on the monetary policy leads to inter-generational redistributive effects when there is a change in the preferences of the households following a discount factor shock that alters their consumption-saving behaviour and the interest rates remain low for long.

Navigating Uncertainty: An examination of the Bank of England's mixed-strategy response to Brexit

with Jagjit S. Chadha, Corrado Macchiarelli, Arno Hantzsche and Sathya Mellina

Brexit represents an event layered onto the economic aftershocks of the Global Financial Crisis, during which the UK experienced exceptional financial market volatility and uncertainty. In response, the Bank of England adopted a comprehensive monetary policy strategy, including conventional and unconventional measures. Our research highlights that effective communication regarding Brexit markedly reinforced the Bank’s multipronged strategy, aiding in diminishing the term premium—an indicator of investor risk perceptions. We find this communication critical in navigating the aftermath of Brexit and in complementing other monetary policy measures, such as Quantitative Easing and forward guidance.

The Impact of Surprise Inflation across the Age Distribution and Life Cycle of Euro Area Households

with Oliver de Groot

The exceptional characteristics of the economic downturn resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and the conflict in Ukraine have once again brought the global economy to a critical juncture, characterized by the emergence of high inflationary pressures and high-interest rates. This study investigates the intergenerational distributional impacts on wealth and welfare arising from unforeseen high inflation and also evaluates the case when the central bank adopts a strict anti-inflationary regime through its Taylor rule. To explore these dynamics, we develop a model that integrates an inflation episode within a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian overlapping generations (O-HANK) framework specifically tailored to the Euro Area economy.

Housing systems as the nexus of urban amenity, population change

and productivity

with Chris Leishman

This paper serves as an introduction to a collection of 17 previously published articles in the Urban Studies Journal, which focus on the intricate relationship between population change and productivity in cities. The interconnectedness between population change, migration, specialization, firm location, amenities, agglomeration economies, and productivity is emphasized.

Policy Publications

Housing in the economy: Scale, cycles and stability

with Duncan Maclennan and Chris Leishman

Sydney: UNSW City Futures Research Centre, 2021

Media: Sydney Morning herald

How does the housing market affect financial and economic stability?

Book Chapters

Econometric Methods for Housing

with Chris Leishman

Proposed chapter for Maclennan, D., Pawson, H., & Miao. A Political Economy for the Housing of Nations, 2024

Contact

University of Liverpool Management School,

Chatham Street,

Liverpool, L69 7ZH, U.K.

satyam.goel[at]liverpool.ac.uk